India’s economic cycles synchronised with advanced countries, however long-term trend rate of growth is deviated

GS 3: Economy

Context

Despite growing global risks, the Indian economy seems to have performed fairly well in the first half of this fiscal year.

India's Economy Has Performed Well

· Growth in the First Quarter: Promising growth rates, most notably 7.8% in the first quarter, have demonstrated the Indian economy's remarkable resilience in the first half of the fiscal year.

· A robust economy is one that is characterized by high PMI scores, continuous tax revenue, substantial public investment, and a favorable financial climate.

· Overcoming Obstacles: India's economy is showing signs of improvement despite challenges like high food inflation and weak exports.

Difficulties and International Relations

· Challenges from Global Factors: Although the Indian economy is resilient, it still faces challenges from global factors. These global dynamics, which include structural, shock, and cyclical elements create a significant impact on the country's economy.

· Global Integration: These effects are exacerbated by trade fluctuations and integration with international markets, particularly with regard to Europe, the US, and the Asia Pacific region.

· Geopolitical Factors: The domestic economy is further stressed by the ongoing geopolitical conflicts and unpredictable weather patterns.

Opportunities for Extended Growth

· Wide-ranging structural changes: Over the medium to long term, India's growth story is impacted by a number of broad structural changes, including changing globalisation, technological disruptions, climate action, and demographic shifts.

· Growth Prospects: India wants to improve its growth prospects by focusing on infrastructure development, growth-oriented reforms, and the diversification of global supply chains as the world's growth potential is diminishing.

LTX Mains Question:

Q. "Explain how structural changes affect India's medium- to long-term growth prospects. What steps can India take to manage the rapid changes in globalization, technology, and demographic transitions to sustain growth?"

{{Mounica Sukhavasi}}

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